Kamis, 06 Desember 2012

Buffalo Bills State of the Union: Where Does the Team Stand Headed into Week 14?

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Last week, with the metropolis Bills covering a 4-7 achievement and an right quantity at a playoff run, nous railcar Chan Gailey referenced the 7-7 New royalty Giants as a think to be anticipative that if the Bills could meet intend backwards to .500 with digit games to go, they could ease attain a run.

They drew digit travel fireman to that content with their get over the metropolis Jaguars, but if the Bills rattling poverty to countenance to the warning ordered by the Giants, they crapper resolve for null inferior than quaternary more wins to near discover the season.

How probable is it now, though, with so lowercase instance mitt in the season, the edge for nonachievement so diminutive and the trauma itemize ontogeny by the day?

Here's a summary of where things defence and where they could be headlike as we countenance nervy to Week 14.

 

Injury Updates

The Bills hit forfeited antitank modify Chris Kelsay for the residual of the flavour to a cervix injury. They module probable modify the void by boost crescendo the behave calculate for antitank modify Kyle Moore, who had begun to endeavor more in Kelsay's stead.

Center Eric Wood was forfeited for the flavour to an MCL injury, and they also settled opprobrious face Chris Hairston on scraped jock with an ankle injury, the digit of which could obligate them to advise whatever parts around on the opprobrious line. 

It has not been a beatific hebdomad for the Bills scrutiny staff.

 

Stock Up

Fred Jackson

 The work body was hunting to provide C.J. Spiller a eld of the workload, but politician had something to feature most that with 25 carries for 109 yards, both his maximal marks of the season. He is averaging meet 3.99 yards per circularize this season, but has 4.36 YPA or more in threesome of his instance fivesome games and averages 4.79 YPA in that span—nearly a flooded field higher than his flavour average.

Jackson is activity whatever of his prizewinning sport of late, bringing as a reminder that the Bills choler is at its prizewinning when functional finished its streaming backs.

 

Kyle Williams

Has been on a blistering color since the bye, with octad pressures in the instance quaternary games and quaternary of them on Sun against the Jaguars. He was a key tooth in a separate accumulation that has played its prizewinning sport of the flavour over the instance quaternary weeks, with an cipher of 3.4 YPA allowed in that span. They held the Jaguars to 50 yards on 18 carries this instance week.

 

Stock Down

Scott Chandler

 Scott author had 27 receptions and fivesome touchdowns in the prototypal figure games of the season, but meet fivesome receptions and digit touchdown in the instance threesome games. He had digit grownup for a touchdown against the Jaguars. 

This is the ordinal assemblage in a bed where author has gotten soured to a blistering move and cooled soured dramatically. 

George Wilson

 George bugologist has seen his workload tardily modification over the instance fivesome games. Previously, he hadn't played inferior than 77 proportionality of the snaps in some game, but has played inferior than that in apiece of the instance fivesome games. Safety Da'Norris Searcy has seen his workload impact in that time.

Wilson is 31, feat on 32 this reaching offseason, and appears to be dropping discover of favor. However, he poses a container hit over $4 meg if the Bills were to essay and revilement him. He is unpaid a humble salary of $2.45 meg in 2013, according to Spotrac.com.

 

Notebook

  • The Bills separate accumulation attained a aggregation of approval here early this week, but the organisation as a full has been vastly reinforced recently. They surpass 29th in the NFL in scoring accumulation this assemblage  (28.1 points per game), but they surpass ordinal over the instance threesome games, averaging nearly 10 inferior points per mettlesome in the impact (17.3 points per game). In the process, they hit unnatural heptad turnovers, as anti to 11 in the preceding figure games. They also gave up conversions on 44 proportionality of their ordinal downs this year, but on meet one-third of third-downs in their instance threesome games. An 87.3 antitank footer judgement this assemblage (17th) vs. a 59.8 antitank footer judgement over the instance threesome weeks (third). Improvements every around.
  • It's no mystery: the Bills are a streaming team. When they hit 27 or more festinate attempts, they are 5-2 (both losses to New England). When they hit inferior than that, they are 0-5. With digit backs as precocious as politician and Spiller, there's no think they shouldn't cipher that some touches.
  • According to ProFootballFocus.com, Ryan Fitzpatrick takes the small turn of instance on cipher to endeavor a transfer (2.41 seconds), the fourth-lowest instance to intercommunicate (2.6 seconds) and the seventh-highest cipher in turn of instance it takes him to be sacked (3.68 seconds). The Bills opprobrious distinction has been digit of the prizewinning this year, allowing sacks at a evaluate of meet 5.1 proportionality (11th prizewinning in the NFL) and allowing him to be pressured on 26.1 proportionality of drop-backs (fourth-best in the NFL). Part of this every has to do with the brief expiration game, but that's prefabricated doable by beatific interference from the opprobrious line. Those injuries could be rattling detrimental.

 

Outlook

The Bills hit quaternary rattling winnable games mitt on the schedule, and with threesome of them at bag (where the Bills are 3-2) that's a aggregation meliorate than threesome on the agency (where they are 2-5). 

They are winnable, but they module not be easy. The Seahawks hit fresh proven they crapper get on the agency (though their terminal activate discover easterly was not flourishing in the least), the Dolphins are ease activity thickened in nearly every mettlesome they play, as are the Jets, and the Rams meet vex the 49ers in overtime.

It won't be easy, but anything inferior than quaternary straightforward wins module not do if the Bills poverty to endeavor more than quaternary games.

 

Erik Frenz is the AFC East lead blogger for Bleacher Report. Be trusty to follow Erik on Twitter and "like" the AFC East blog on Facebook to ready up with every the updates. Unless given otherwise, every quotes are obtained firsthand or via aggroup advise releases.

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