Jumat, 07 Desember 2012

Rams vs. Bills: Highlighting Key Matchups to Watch for Buffalo

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Home has been category to the metropolis Bills, where they impact won threesome of fivesome games.

The road has been edged to the St. gladiator Rams, where they impact won meet erst this season (1-3-1).

Of course, Sunday's showdown module be most such more than that. Both teams impact won digit of their instance threesome games, and both teams requirement a intend desperately if they poverty to meet aware in the playoff vie of their individual conferences.

The mettlesome module be won and forfeited by the matchups between the albescent lines. Here's how those matchups fortuity down.

 

What's At Stake

Both a color of futility and a quantity at the playoffs secure in the equilibrise in Sunday's showdown.

Both the Bills and the Rams are at small digit games discover of the playoffs. Thus neither aggroup has such of a pick but to intend if they poverty to meet in disceptation for a Wild Card spot.

A expiration would indorse that the Bills closing .500 or worsened for the ordinal straightforward year, patch the Rams would hair up their ninth.

 

Highlighting attorney Matchup to Watch: Stevie President vs. Janoris Jenkins

Stevie President is the Bills' most trusty danger in the expiration game, and module probable entertainer the tending of the Rams' crowning cornerback, Janoris Jenkins.

Jenkins has place unitedly a (shaky) housing for himself as the antitank rookie of the year by making whatever active interceptions. He's also condemned whatever risks in programme that impact outlay his aggroup dearly. 

Johnson, meanwhile, has shapely his estimation as an "innovative" line runner. That is to say, he runs his routes differently apiece time, depending on the programme he sees and what defenders are doing. If he catches Jenkins discover of position, he could easily change his line to compensate.

He got Colts antitank backwards solon Vaughn to ache aggressively on an underneath route, then proceeded to separate straightforward instance him in their matchup.

Johnson is not famous for his plumb speed; Fitzpatrick is not famous for his unfathomable throw. In fact, he's famous for his quality to effectively intercommunicate deep. Here, though, the ornament gets President panoramic unstoppered and makes for an cushy 63-yard catch-and-run.

Dolphins backwards Ryan Tannehill made a similarly impressive unfathomable intercommunicate to panoramic earpiece Marlon Moore, fighting Janoris Jenkins for a touchdown in the process.

Tannehill catches Jenkins opened in the backfield and histrion blows correct instance him for the cushy score.

Fitzpatrick is farther from an selected quarterback, but Jenkins can't give to gamble. He'll impact to meet disciplined if he wants to become discover successful in this all-important battle.

 

Best Video Tangentially Related to the Game

Luckily for Buffalo, they don't impact to vexation most these guys.

 

Bills' Biggest Advantage

The selected endeavor of the Bills accumulation over the instance quaternary weeks, specifically against the run, module be of enthusiastic goodness against the Rams. which, patch not fatal on the ground, Jeff Fisher's unit gets in a impression when the streaming mettlesome is employed efficiently.

Rams backwards Sam pressman attempts the 11th-highest proportionality of play-action passes in the association (20.4 percent, via ProFootballFocus.com). His footer judgement on those throws (102) dwarfs the footer judgement he's compiled on accepted passes (78.9).

Thus, the Bills' plus against the separate module support them greatly in fastening the pass, as it module obligate pressman discover of his richness zone.

 

Rams' Biggest Advantage

The Rams impact a high-pressure accumulation that brings downbound anti quarterbacks on 7.3 proportionality of drop-backs, the fifth-highest cipher in the league. They don't manoeuvre a full aggregation to intend there, either (173 of 459 drop-backs, 37.7 percent), which module help them substantially against Bills backwards Ryan Fitzpatrick.

Although the Mennonite Rifle has been inconsistent, to feature the least, he's been unco fat against the blitz, with sextet touchdowns, no interceptions and a 97.1 footer rating.

When not covering a manoeuvre he's average, at best, with 14 touchdowns, 12 interceptions and an 80.6 footer rating.

Getting push on Fitzpatrick module not be easy, though. The Bills' QB is among the least-pressured quarterbacks in the league, with defenders effort within accomplish on meet 26.4 proportionality of his drop-backs. A aggregation of that is cod to the brief expiration mettlesome of the Bills. He gets the ball discover within 2.5 seconds on 58.2 proportionality of his dropbacks. He is digit of the five-worst quarterbacks in the association on the another 41.8 proportionality of his throws, though, when teams obligate him to secure onto the ball.

Playing beatific programme on the backwards modify could be the success key for the Rams.

 

Bills Win If

They crapper be economical in the expiration game.

That's easier said than finished for Ryan Fitzpatrick, whose interception evaluate (3.2 proportionality of throws) is digit of the 10 maximal averages in the league. It won't be cushy at every against a Rams alternative that intercepts 2.9 proportionality of passes tangled against it (ninth-best in the NFL). The Rams also earmark the league's fifth-highest termination proportionality on accumulation (65.9 percent).

Fitzpatrick's termination proportionality is lowercase meliorate than cipher (61.1 percent), but this hebdomad more than most he has to verify what the accumulation gives him. Fitzpatrick staleness refrain forcing throws into reciprocation and earmark the rest to impact itself out.

Rams Win If

They crapper andante downbound the streaming mettlesome of the Bills. Their separate accumulation has been the sixth-best in the association over the instance threesome weeks, allowing meet 3.5 yards per circularize on cipher according to TeamRankings.com. 

That doesn't mean, however, that teams haven't had success streaming against them. In fact, the Rams impact allowed 346 amount yards running in that instance (115.3 yards per game), but their opponents impact separate the ball 100 nowadays (33.3 attempts per game).

They also haven't seen a backwards same C.J. Spiller over those threesome games. His pace and speed impact helped him advance the association in yards per festinate endeavor (6.6). If the Rams crapper impact the brake on Spiller the Bills module be unnatural to place the ball in the safekeeping of the ever-erratic Ryan Fitzpatrick (league-leading 35 interceptions over the instance digit seasons), thusly greatly meliorate their chances of winning.

 

Outlook

The Bills are not a beatific team, but they commonly intend the games they are questionable to intend (exceptions against the Jets Week 1 and the Titans Week 7). 

After attractive the 49ers to period twice, and fighting them unqualified once, the Rams do not countenance same a aggroup that the Bills should beat.

This is different, though. The Bills stop individual advantages and endeavor substantially sufficiency at bag that this should modify up in their favor.

 

Prediction

Bills 20, Rams 12

Erik Frenz is the AFC East lead blogger for Bleacher Report. Be trusty to follow Erik on Twitter and "like" the AFC East blog on Facebook to ready up with every the updates. Unless given otherwise, every quotes are obtained firsthand or via aggroup advise releases.

Read more metropolis Bills programme on BleacherReport.com

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